Advanced methods for monitoring and modifying water regimes, fuel moisture, and predicting the occurrence of vegetation fires under changing climate conditions and with an emphasis on the risk of rapidly spreading fires
Recipient: Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR, v. v. i.
Keywords: Fuel moisture; Fire weather; Suppression difficulty Index SDI; Fire weather forecast; Fire detection; Climate change; Vegetation fire prevention; Fire department; Fuel model; FlamMap;
Annotation of project:
In Šumava National Park, wildfire risk is high due to vegetation (fuel), visitor activity (ignition sources), and rugged terrain (firefighting difficulty). Climate change over the past 60 years has increased days with low dead fuel moisture and conditions favorable for fire spread. Still, most of the year has unfavorable fire conditions, so measures must adapt. Only 4% of fires spread rapidly, under low moisture, wind, and unstable atmosphere—factors in the Bzenec (2012) and Bohemian Switzerland (2022) fires. The project will integrate data from the National Park, FireRisk, and CzechGlobe to improve prevention and response. It will develop a unique system to monitor and forecast fuel moisture, fire weather, and atmospheric stability, and introduce a new satellite detection system.





